Please answer, do i have a good shot of being accepted to..?

I would say probably not. I was in your situation, and I went to a lesser school for a year and then transferred to a great school. There are definitely plusses to this method..if you pick an in-state school, it saves you a boatload of money. Also, you'll have an easier time making better grades at lesser colleges. Just be sure to have at least two professors who are willing to write rec letters...Good Luck